Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.704374 1.967312 2.251828 2.581877 2.953484 3.358203 3.831589
2024-10-13 1.289923 1.650322 2.075276 2.610141 3.261890 4.026589 4.987720
2024-10-20 0.979451 1.376012 1.881060 2.563921 3.454456 4.566877 6.050596
2024-10-27 0.795467 1.214629 1.785889 2.607500 3.742382 5.235902 7.327272
2024-11-03 0.657316 1.083343 1.700738 2.638971 4.001943 5.878276 8.617068
2024-11-10 0.544720 0.964591 1.608834 2.638503 4.203929 6.447215 9.843595
2024-11-17 0.448080 0.850369 1.502236 2.594740 4.327394 6.903487 10.935544
2024-11-24 0.369291 0.749475 1.398597 2.536468 4.413735 7.301476 11.960957
2024-12-01 0.317847 0.686158 1.345705 2.549541 4.606647 7.867363 13.270414
2024-12-08 0.270625 0.621188 1.279114 2.528160 4.735936 8.337042 14.456243
2024-12-15 0.242640 0.588397 1.264886 2.594270 5.014121 9.059661 16.083796
2024-12-22 0.212120 0.544293 1.222395 2.602194 5.188749 9.620130 17.479494
2024-12-29 0.196341 0.530714 1.240288 2.730323 5.598093 10.619429 19.694157
2025-01-05 0.177751 0.507312 1.235340 2.814365 5.936015 11.523560 21.814285
2025-01-12 0.152662 0.462965 1.179588 2.789871 6.067333 12.074595 23.364673
2025-01-19 0.137173 0.439332 1.165332 2.848442 6.362485 12.937506 25.512781
2025-01-26 0.122387 0.414184 1.143615 2.887859 6.621891 13.750663 27.618978
2025-02-02 0.107372 0.384784 1.107127 2.889843 6.804191 14.430102 29.520243
2025-02-09 0.091983 0.350326 1.052532 2.843579 6.880670 14.911105 31.080699
2025-02-16 0.078124 0.316755 0.994355 2.780947 6.914861 15.309533 32.505556
2025-02-23 0.069346 0.297266 0.969855 2.795350 7.116201 16.047933 34.615549
2025-03-02 0.060343 0.274413 0.932221 2.772282 7.230997 16.617803 36.427862
2025-03-09 0.055584 0.265480 0.932283 2.843983 7.565182 17.652171 39.199107